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What is the risk for crimean congo hemorrhagic fever pandemic?


Crimean-Congo haemorrhagic fever (CCHF) is a viral haemorrhagic fever of the Nairovirus group. Although primarily a zoonosis, sporadic cases and outbreaks of CCHF affecting humans do occur. The disease is endemic in many countries in Africa, Europe and Asia, and during 2001, cases or outbreaks have been recorded in Kosovo, Albania, Iran, Pakistan, and South Africa.

The risk of a pandemic is very slight. CCHF is transmitted via ticks, or blood. The fact of the matter is that if a disease is to become a truly dangerous pandemic, it must have aerosol transmission (eg. sneezing, coughing, etc.). The odds of many people coming into contact with the blood of an infected person are slight, at best. Furthermore, with the quarantine procedures that would be implemented, the odds of any hemmorhagic fever becoming a pandemic or not good at all. There are far more dangerous and more easily transmittable diseases than CCHF. Your concern would be far better suited to a disease that infects the nose, throat, or lungs.

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